Speaker:    Akihiko Matsutani
Topic:         
Shrinking-Population Economics
When:        Starting at 6:30 p.m. on Sunday, 27 August 2006
Admission: Buy a copy of Shrinking-Population Economics: Lessons from Japan from our shop

Although Japan's population has long been aging, it is now shrinking. Government policy makers and corporate planners are understandably concerned. A smaller and older workforce will mean a decline in productive potential. Fewer consumers will mean less demand overall, and grayer shoppers will mean profound changes in the pattern of demand. Declining tax revenues will starve already cash- strapped municipalities. Regions and industries will no longer be able to rely on accustomed public works spending. Japn's pension and health insurance programs will no longer be viable.

Japanese have been largely oblivious to these impending changes, even though the demographic writing has been on Japan's walls for decades. Japan's government, business, academia, and media are rushing to grasp the implications of the country's shrinking and aging population. Their haste is all too evident in a flurry of unfounded pronouncements and half-baked theories about Japan's social and economic prospects. The tone of public and private discourse on the subject is distinctly gloomy.

In Shrinking Population Economics: Lessons from Japan (International House of Japan, 2006), author Matsutani Akihiko offers a refreshingly informed and far-reaching account of the economic and social implications of the demographic change under way in Japan. He demonstrates convincingly that demographic trends will occasion socioeconomic changes more sweeping than most pundits have predicted. Matsutani exposes the futility of widely proposed measures for forestalling population and economic shrinkage, such as encouraging Japanese families to have more children and encouraging increased immigration. He urges Japanese to instead learn to live with a smaller, older population. Most strikingly, he argues persuasively that population shrinking and aging promise to redress the great tragedy of Japan's postwar economic surge: the failure of Japan's economic growth to deliver commensurate improvement in Japan's quality of life.

Matsutani joined Japan's Ministry of Finance immediately after graduating from the University of Tokyo in 1970. He worked mainly in the Ministry's Budget and Securities Bureaus, where he helped to coordinate fiscal and monetary policies. He moved to academia in 1997 and earned a doctorate in civil engineering from the University of Tokyo in 2004. He is currently a professor at Japan's National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies. His academic work has centered on macroeconomics, public finance, infrastructure engineering, and the economic and social implications of demographic change.

Your ticket for admission to Akihiko Matsutani's BOOKNOTES presentation will be a copy of Shrinking-Population Economics: Lessons from Japan (International House of Japan, 2006) bought from Good Day Books. Paperback copies of Shrinking-Population Economics may be purchased at Good Day Books for one thousand five hundred yen (¥1500) each, tax included. 


Donald Richie
26 September 2004

Edward Seidensticker
24 October 2004

Mark Schreiber
27 February 2005

Christopher Earnshaw
17 April 2005

Barbara Sato
25 September 2005

Donald Richie (2)
30 October 2005

Mark Schreiber (2)
27 November 2005

Manabu Miyazaki
11 December 2005

Markuz Wernli-Saito
22 January 2006

Mark Schilling
19 February 2006

Frederik Schodt
19 March 2006

E. Seidensticker (2)
30 April 2006

Richard J. Samuels
28 May 2006

Niall Murtagh
18 June 2006

Philip Harper
30 July 2006

Akihiko Matsutani
27 August 2006

Leza Lowitz
24 September 2006

Takeshi Nakagawa
22 October 2006

Donald Keene
26 November 2006

Peter Tasker
28th January 2007

Roland Kelts
18 February 2007

Sumiko Enbutsu
25 March 2007

Genda Yuji
15 April 2007

Mark Schreiber (3)
27 May 2007

Don Kenny
17 June 2007

Timothy Hornyak
22 July 2007

Takahiro Fujimoto
2 September 2007

Sumiko Enbutsu (2)
7 October 2007

David Peace
4 November 2007

Kentaro Ito
9 December 2007

Richard J. Samuels (2)
13 January 2008

Aaron Hoopes
24 February 2008

Arudou Debito
23 March 2008

Donald Richie (3)
27 April 2008

Michael Hoffman
25 May 2008

Karube Tadashi
29 June 2008

Ry Beville
27 July 2008

Leigh Norrie
14 September 2008

Donald Keene (2)
5 October 2008

James L. Huffman
9 November 2008

Donald Richie (4)
07 December 2008

Vicki L. Beyer
25 January 2009

Mark Schilling (2)
22 February 2009

Hans Brinckmann
29 March 2009

Sumiko Enbutsu (3)
26 April 2009

Robert Whiting
24 May 2009

Mark Schreiber (4)
28 June 2009

Stephen Mansfield
26 July 2009

Eamonn Fingleton
06 September 2009

Peter Sharpe
25 October 2009

Jake Adelstein
06 December 2009

Stephen Mansfield (2)
31 January 2010

David Chester
28 February 2010

Azby Brown
28 March 2010

Donald Keene (3)
01 August 2010

Takeo Iguchi
19 September 2010

  X Printable page